Only four drone occurrences have entered Taiwan's official aviation safety statistics — because the threshold is 'substantial damage to a drone over 25 kg.' A hobbyist crash never enters the count. The two published investigation reports are the same model, the same manufacturer, and the same agency, and both probable causes were hardware failures: main rotor servo electrical failure in one, a fractured tail rotor pitch link in the other. In both, the flight control computer and the operator were explicitly cleared.
The three most important lines on a drone spec sheet are exactly the three lines spec sheets don't print. Taiwan's Drone Cybersecurity Testing Specification defines a product 'series' as units whose flight control, communications, and satellite positioning chip modules are all identical — regulation decides whether two drones are the same drone by those three modules, not by looks or endurance. And the weight field isn't a marketing number either: 250 g, 1 kg, 2 kg, 15 kg, and 25 kg are five separate legal thresholds.
The 2016 consumer drone bubble left specific wreckage: 3D Robotics stopped making hardware, GoPro recalled all 2,500 Karma units six weeks after launch and cut 15% of staff, Parrot cut 35% of its drone workforce, and Lily Robotics collapsed after taking $34M in pre-orders. In 2023 even Skydio — $570M raised — exited consumer, and three years later it is valued at $4.4 billion. This wave runs on a completely different engine, but three things are exactly the same.
The global drone market is roughly US$69B in 2026 (IDTechEx). China holds about 80% of it (CSIS) and DJI over 70% of multi-rotor. The FCC put every foreign-made drone on its Covered List in December 2025; Taiwan's drone output jumped from NT$5.0B to NT$12.9B in one year, and Q1 2026 exports already beat all of 2025. This piece breaks down the five-layer supply chain, the four demand blocks, and the two ceilings holding back scale.
Of the 267 companies the Ministry of Economic Affairs counted, 164 are in northern Taiwan. But geography is not division of labor — Thunder Tiger's published bill of materials shows motors, batteries, frames, and propellers sourced locally, while flight control, comms/GPS, and camera modules go to US, European, and Japanese partners. Exports were only 23% of 2025's NT$12.9B output, and 88.1% of export value sits in the 2–7 kg weight band per Ministry of Finance statistics.
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